When
Boko Haram captured territory in Nigeria ’s
northeast last year and declared a caliphate, there were real fears for the
sovereignty of Africa ’s most populous nation.
Nigeria ’s crude-reliant economy has been battered
by the fall in global oil prices, hampering government spending and even the
payment of state-sector salaries.
Nigeria is almost evenly split between a
Muslim-majority north and largely Christian south and the sharp division
informs most aspects of political debate.
A
deadline is looming for the military to end the six years of violence, with
signs that troops have wrested back control of most of the towns and villages
lost to the Islamists.
But
now President Muhammadu Buhari is facing another potential headache with the
revival of separatist sentiment in the country’s southeast and renewed debate
over the sharing of oil wealth.
Recent
weeks have seen a wave of protests calling for an independent state of Biafra,
45 years after the end of the brutal civil sparked by a previous declaration of
independence.
Now,
campaigners in the oil-producing Niger delta are demanding total
control of resources to develop the region, which remains under-developed
despite billions of dollars earned from crude.
Last
Friday, the Niger Delta Self-Determination Movement (NDSDM) lobby group,
declared the current agreement, whereby oil revenue is divided among Nigeria ’s 36
states, was unfair.
“The
13 percent (share for the Niger Delta) enshrined in the 1999 constitution by
the military is depriving us of our God-given resources,” the group’s convener
Annkio Briggs told reporters in Lagos .
“We
want 100 percent control and ownership of our oil so that we can control our
future.”
–
Northern ‘dominance’ –
Crude
accounts for 90 percent of Nigeria ’s
export earnings and 70 percent of government overall revenue.
In
2014, the country earned $77 billion from oil exports, according to the US
Department of Energy, down from $84 billion in 2013 and $94 billion in 2012.
How
much each state in the federation gets from the sector has long been a thorny
issue, exposing barely concealed regional and ethnic rivalries.
Demands
for a greater share of oil revenue were a factor in the violence that gripped
the delta in the 2000s until a government amnesty programme, which ends this
year, bought off militants.
Briggs’
group argues Nigeria ’s
political architecture, with 19 states classed as northern and 17 in the south,
unfairly penalises the southern states where oil is found.
“Of
the 774 local government areas (administrative divisions within each state),
the north is given almost 70 percent,” she said, calling it “manipulations for…
socio-economic and political dominance”.
She
blamed a succession of northern-dominated military governments for forcing
through the revenue-sharing agreement down the barrel of a gun “without our
free, prior and informed consent”.
Briggs
denied calling for a break away from the federation but argued every region
instead should use its own natural resources to develop itself.
The
NDSDM was founded last year during a national conference convened by former
president Goodluck Jonathan at which delegates recommended the delta region
received 18 percent of oil revenue.
The
recommendation was not implemented before Jonathan left office.
–
‘Politically motivated’ –
But
the argument for so-called “fiscal federalism” is seen by some as unrealistic,
with sectors such as agriculture and manufacturing not sufficiently developed
yet to be sustainable.
Anyakwee
Nsirimovu, of the Niger Delta Civil Society Coalition pressure group, said
demands from southern pressure groups were predictable now Buhari, a northern
Muslim, was in power.
“Why
is it after the defeat of Jonathan you see the likes of Annkio Briggs, MASSOB
(Movement for the Actualisation of the Sovereign State of Biafra) and IPOB
(Indigenous Peoples of Biafra) asking for resource control and
self-determination?” he asked.
The
complaints in fact exposed the failure of Jonathan, from the oil-producing Bayelsa
state, to help his southern kinsmen during his six years in power, he argued.
“Those
who lost out in the power equation are behind the crisis,” he claimed.
But
Tony Nnadi, of the Movement for New Nigeria, said every ethnic group had the
right to either belong to or pull out of Nigeria , nearly 102 years after the
country was formed.
“In
1914, the so-called Nigeria
came into being through an amalgamation of southern and northern protectorates
by the British colonial power,” he said.
“By
the provisions of the amalgamation, we have the right since 2014 to renegotiate
the basis of our continued existence.
The
experiences of various ethnic groups “in the last 100 years have shown we
cannot continue in the marriage”, he added.
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